FAUCI DIARY ARCHIVE — Monday, September 19, 2022
https://faucisdiary.com/diary/2022-09-19

Text below is verbatim from the released PDFs, with the original line breaks.
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DIARY ENTRY — Monday, September 19, 2022
Source: Tony's Diary Package, pp. 1065–1066 of 2026.07.24_Tonys-Diary-Package.pdf
Words: 363
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I had to help clean up a bit of a mess today when the President casually said on a “60
Minutes” interview that the pandemic was over. I had a number of press today and certainly I
got asked the question particularly on NPR about how this relates to the fact that all of us have
been saying that we are still in the middle of a pandemic and 400 people are dying each day. I
gave the explanation that it really is a matter of semantics and that the president was referring to
the fact that the fulminant stage of the outbreak is no longer present since we were experiencing
800,000 cases a day and over 3000 deaths per day several months ago and the situation is very
different now. However, I did emphasize that we are still in the middle of a pandemic.

It is likely that there will be another wave of infections in November:

Variant report 2022-09-14

A variant wave is likely to start in at most 3 months
The BA.2.75 sublineage BA.2.75.2 (S:346T, S:486S, S:1119N) currently doubles in share every week (+80-
120%). It made up between 0.1 and 0.5% in samples from two weeks ago in Europe (in Asia, North
America and Oceania, the share is higher at between 0.5-5%).

    •   Global Cov-Spectrum query
    •   Europe Cov-Spectrum query

If this growth trend continues, this variant will dominate in about two months. At this point, the growth
advantage would manifest in increased overall growth in incidence and a variant wave would start
around November - on top of the expected seasonal acceleration of transmission.

The growth advantage over resident BA.2 or BA.5 lineages is of the same order of magnitude as was the
case when BA.5 displaced BA.2, which was sufficient to cause a summer wave.

Currently, BA.2.75.2 is the fastest growing lineage with more than 350 sequences available. The rest of
this report will focus on other lineages that may end up growing faster than BA.2.75.

PRESS: Canada TV “The Agenda” with Steve Paikin; NPR “The World” with Marco
Werman;Podcast with Steve Morrison at CSIS; MiddleEast Broadcast Interview (TV);
Rural Health Matters TV with Dr. Jeffrey Gold;