FAUCI DIARY ARCHIVE — Monday, April 3, 2006
https://faucisdiary.com/diary/2006-04-03

Text below is verbatim from the released PDFs, with the original line breaks.
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DIARY ENTRY — Monday, April 3, 2006
Source: Diary Prequel, p. 142 of 2026.07.27_Diary-Prequel-.pdf
Words: 231
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Over the past 2 weeks, there has been continued medium-high interest in
the ever expanding bird flu situation with a constant low-level stream of new human
cases and more countries getting either migratory birds or chicken flocks infected.
Current number are 188 infected and 103 dead. Recently, there has been migratory birds
(mostly swans) infected with H5N1 detected in Western Europe. France as only country
with some domesticated chickens and turkeys infected. They quickly handled it by
culling. Other countries such as Italy had migratory bird(s) infected, but no chickens and
still chicken sales in supermarkets and restaurants has plummeted by as much as 50 to
60%. My prediction is that infected migratory birds may (not definitely) make it to USA
and that there will be very little contamination of chickens because of the agriculture
controls. Yet, it will affect (by misperception) the chicken industry.
   There has been some backlash among people in press about the over-hyping of the
threat. I am in good shape here since I have always maintained that the threat, although
non-quantifiable, is likely low. This is in contrast to others such as Rob Webster, who
says that there is a 50% chance that we will have a bird flu pandemic among humans with
H5N1!!! I have no idea how he came up with that number. Also, my friend Michael
Osterholm is also singing doom and gloom.